It seems that the Russian decision-maker in his operations rooms was convinced by these facts and based on them, he made his decision and formulated his military plan, which aims for a special combat operation (as Putin called it) that can crush the Ukrainian army and with it the political leadership collapses in a period of time ranging between 72 and 96 hours.But as usual, the calculations of the field did not match the calculations of the threshing floor, in light of the failure of the Russian army to achieve the goal of the rapid destruction of the Ukrainian army after mobilizing more than 190,000 Russian fighters with their equipment supported by dozens of squadrons of bombers, fighters and attack helicopters, in addition to more than 60 combat and missile ships, Landing boats and submarines, all maneuvering and sailing near the Ukrainian shores of the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea.With the failure of the crushing operation expected by Putin, his army moved to implement a new military principle of overthrowing the center, which leads to the collapse of the parties, that is, the fall of the capital Kyiv will lead to the collapse of other cities in the east, south and west. By approaching the city of Chernev and then moving to the town and reactor of Chernobyl and controlling it, then reaching Prodonka, Gostomol, Erbin and Bucha (suburbs around the capital Kyiv) .In an attempt to strangle the capital and push the Ukrainian army to carry out a military coup that overthrows Ukrainian President Zelensky and then moves to impose the rest of the Russian goals, and with the steadfastness, stability and effectiveness of the resistance actions of the Ukrainians, President Putin’s second goal failed, and the work of the Russian army was thwarted, after which it rushed for a comprehensive operation targeting the entire Ukrainian territory .
The comprehensive operation led the Russian army to besiege the cities of Kharkiv and Sumy in the north, then reinforce the separatist forces’ action in the Donbas region through forces that crossed the Russian border from southeastern Ukraine, and from the Crimea, where the military divisions mobilized by the Russian army set out and through three airborne columns:
The first column moved east towards the city of Melitopol, which collapsed and the Russian army entered, but it collided with a strong defense of the defenders of the largest city (Mariopol) located on the shore of the Sea of Azov, which thwarted all attacks on its borders despite the Russians carrying out naval landings on its shores to support the ground forces, preceded by a naval landing Another on the shores of the city (Melitopol) in the Sea of Azov. The second and third column moved north and west and broke the defenses of the city of Kherson and the Russian army took control of it, but it also collided with the strong defenses at the gates of the city (Mykolaiv), which the Ukrainian army had reached, withdrawing from the city of Kherson, and moved, and established a strong defensive line there as the last line of defense For the economic capital of Ukraine and the southern capital of the city (Odessa), and even the control of the Russian army over the largest logistical city. Commanders in southern Kherson "Raditsk base" did not weaken the capabilities of the defenders of Mykolaiv.The modest achievements of the Russian army on the battlefields, which are classified as tactical achievements, and do not rise to the operational or strategic levels, did not give the Russians the ability to build a political or negotiating base that would achieve the goals set for the war in Ukraine.With the arrival of almost three weeks of war and the distribution of the Russian army over the Ukrainian geography in the north, east and south, the facts of this army began to unfold day by day.The biggest scandal that appeared in the joints of the Russian army was the work of the logistical support forces and the combat supply forces that were supposed to be responsible for supplying, feeding and drinking operations, securing equipment supplies and compensating for lost weapons and ammunition, with all the necessary medical services or the so-called military norms and combat and technical insurance operations. Columns of supplies that set off from the city (Rodstov) inside the Russian territory, and from the Belarusian border, it was said that the length of one of them reaches about 64 km , But he stopped in the middle of the road after his vehicles ran out of fuel and many of their components were subjected to sniping operations with anti-armor weapons prepared for them by the Ukrainian army when the Russian army approached, and a section of a convoy was covered with mud and could not get out of it after the Ukrainian army flooded some lands north of (Kyiv) with water . As for the fuel train, which moved from Belarus to ensure the work of the mechanisms of the Russian army and its armored vehicles, it was hit and disrupted and stopped in the middle of the road, as well as the columns that moved from inside the Russian territory, most of them broke down and lost the momentum of the movement and lost on the roads , In this regard, retired Russian general and expert Yuri Shvets says: If the columns of supply for our army had been in the time of Hulagu and moved by horses, they would have reached Kyiv, but the columns of the Russian army have not yet arrived. And (the distance between Kyiv and Belarus does not exceed 90 km, and the distance between Kyiv and the Russian borders does not exceed 265 km). In military operations rooms, in military decision-making rooms, and in all western and eastern schools, in order to make the right and appropriate decision, the commander must know three basic aspects: the capabilities of the friend, the capabilities of the enemy, and the nature of the theater of hostilities. In broad coordination with the political goals, the decision is taken and the plan is formulated that achieves those goals, because strategic war decisions need a political cover that allows them the right to wage war.It is clear that the Russian decision-maker expected that the war would be fought according to the classic types of war, but the Ukrainians were smarter than the Russians and realized that mobilizing their military divisions on the hot 3,400 km border is a wrong bet (900 km shared border of Ukraine with Belarus, 1,600 km with Russia, 900 on the Sea of Azov, Crimea, and the Black Sea), so they left the borders and distributed the Ukrainian army around the cities, leaving a quarter of the army (about 70,000 fighters) on the Donbass fronts in order to fight the separatists in Lugansk and Donetsk, Relying on the tactics of fighting obstruction and ambushes, and in the worst conditions, and with access to the interior of the cities, fighting the popular resistance and street warfare, while being aware of the military rule that says: Street fighting is the killing of regular armies. In front of the capabilities of the Russian army and its great capabilities, and after reaching the 19th day of the fighting, it can be said that it failed to achieve the assigned tasks, and failed to achieve the required goals, and in the face of this shameful reality, and to cover up this failure, the Russian army has activated and escalated the air, missile and artillery bombardments, By sending dozens of planes to bomb the infrastructure of the state, the Ukrainian army and the outskirts of cities, with (Iskander) missile strikes by land through bases located inside the Russian and Belarusian territories, and (Kaliber) missiles by sea via Russian cruisers maneuvering in the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov.